Season 58 All Star Predictions: Flyers, Snubs, and other Drubs
From the Efficiency side of things, Linndale's Center Mikhail Klimenkov is the biggest snub for the Big 8, with an EFF of 19.7, good for top 15 in EFF in the league. He's followed closely by Rip City's Center Elio Pagnini with a 19.1 EFF, good for 20th on the list so far this season.
The Great 8 was a little harder to determine, from an EFF standpoint, but looking through the list of top Average Ratings, Krzysztof Huk, the Hustlas SG tops the list with a 16.8 EFF and a 13.7 AR, and The Ashkickers Center Samuel Fortune follows him with a 13.6 AR (but a measly 9.1 EFF).
Another player who probably deserves a shout is Philly's SG Paride Fasselli who is top 5 in Average Rating, but got beat out by two deserving guards, in Nikky Nay and Baião.
Couple of notable flyers I took, again based on EFF, but in terms of team record are definitely sketchy picks - here's looking at you Dewayne Allen, Harvey Griffin and Paolo Mari Acuna, whose teams have a combined 7-17 record, mostly thanks to the Carolina Rebels. In truth, 2 percent's Paolo is ranked higher in EFF than the Beer Bellys Sexy Segovia, but I'm hoping team standings plays some factor into the selections...but who knows.
As far as team snubs, Philly Dribble and Hustlas stick out with only one selection, so I assume my arena will be getting egged this weekend.
But the biggest guess out of all of these comes at the Big 8 backup PG selection of Edward Rutledge. Originally I was going to go with Philly's Sébastien Rigaux, who is ranked 3rd in FG%, 2nd in 3FG%, 1st in PTS/48 min and boasts a 13 AR to go along with a 16 EFF. He's shooting above 55% from the field (including three), but only averaging 21.8 MPG. Maybe that shouldn't matter, but that led me to move down the line where I was picking between Rutledge and San Dominica's Étienne Blanchet. They match up fairly well, but Rutledge edges Blanchet out in points, rating, and efficiency per game, so I gave the bench nod to him.
3-Point Contest Predictions
I was pretty close in my 3-point predictions for last season's all star matchup - it seems to me that you have to have at least 50 attempts on the season, so I'm taking the top 6 3-point percentage shooters who've shot at least 50 shots, which excludes the following "sharp" shooters thus far:
Sébastien Rigaux - Philly Dribble - 56% on 41 attempts
Juljonas Glicas - Philly Dribble - 52.3% on 44 attempts
Aleksa Kričković - Żubr Białystok - 48.5% on 33 attempts
Max-Phillip Woesler - Philly Dribble - 47.8% on 46 attempts (this one might come back to bite me).
So, here are my guesses:
Paride Fasselli - Philly Dribble - 58.2% on 55 attempts
Luís Alberto Baião - San DOminica Warriors - 53% on 66 attempts
Nikos Neochoritis - Rip City Revival - 49.6% on 75 attempts
Sirmantas Legkauskas - Hustlas - 49.3% on 69 attempts
Paul Lutz - Linndale - 49% on 51 attempts
Lorenzo Rojas - The Ashkickers - 47.6% on 63 attempts
Some great three point shooters missing out on the contest this year. As always, good luck this weekend and can't wait to find out how wrong I am about all of this!