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This Post:
00
323561.1
Date: 5/2/2024 5:24:37 AM
Johns Creek Wave
III.4
Overall Posts Rated:
6666
Second Team:
Holly Springs Haggis
Only 17 of the 48 players in my draft class are 18 years old

Is that normal?

Seems like it ought to be more evenly split

From: mink0ff

This Post:
11
323561.3 in reply to 323561.2
Date: 5/2/2024 4:56:30 PM
BC Vitosha Sofia
A Grupa
Overall Posts Rated:
875875
Second Team:
Sofia Alpha Dogz
...You can essentially think of it as flipping a coin (50% of the time you get 18 and 50% of the time you get 19)...
I am quite sure 18 and 19yo players are not evenly distributed in the draft. It is more like a 2:1 ratio in favor of 19 year-olds. This is pretty easy to check actually.

17/48 18 year-old players seems normal.

From: mink0ff

This Post:
00
323561.5 in reply to 323561.4
Date: 5/2/2024 6:09:32 PM
BC Vitosha Sofia
A Grupa
Overall Posts Rated:
875875
Second Team:
Sofia Alpha Dogz
Have there been studies done?
Yes, you can do one yourself right now by getting on the NT tool and checking the last draft in several countries.

From: mink0ff

This Post:
00
323561.7 in reply to 323561.6
Date: 5/2/2024 6:41:38 PM
BC Vitosha Sofia
A Grupa
Overall Posts Rated:
875875
Second Team:
Sofia Alpha Dogz
If what you say is true, I don't think that in my most recent draft, we would have had 30/48 draftees who were 18.
You were just talking about randomness and outliers. In my current Utopia draft the distribution is 18/30 in favor of 19 y.o.

Anyways, the ratio is probably not as high as 2:1. Might be 3:2 or 8:5, dunno. But I'm quite convinced that 19 y.o. are more on average. Guess we should wait for Justin again.

This Post:
11
323561.10 in reply to 323561.9
Date: 5/4/2024 3:05:10 PM
Johns Creek Wave
III.4
Overall Posts Rated:
6666
Second Team:
Holly Springs Haggis
The sadness is that this is the first season I have invested money in the draft in probably 12 seasons

I have scouted most of the 18 year olds and found one 4* potential and he doesn't fit what I am training


One guy had a 5 star rating and A+ grade with a 1 * potential.

It reinforces what I have thought all along. Save your money and buy them off the TL