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Cup Streaks

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From: Yuck
This Post:
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174032.1
Date: 2/9/2011 1:30:54 AM
Cassville Yuck
III.3
Overall Posts Rated:
555555
Second Team:
Yuckville Cass
Can anyone top 9 straight cup games on the road? That seems a little on the extreme side of random. I am also at 12 of my last 13 cup games being on the road. Anyone else have this kind of streak in the franchise history?

It is supposed to be random correct? Or am I incorrect?

Last edited by Yuck at 2/9/2011 1:32:22 AM

This Post:
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174032.2 in reply to 174032.1
Date: 2/9/2011 1:56:01 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
522522
It is random, and you are very unlucky, but the chance of having that many away games is about 1 in 5000 I think, so there are bound to be some people in the game being that unlucky.

This Post:
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174032.3 in reply to 174032.2
Date: 2/9/2011 5:39:16 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
4949
It is random, and you are very unlucky, but the chance of having that many away games is about 1 in 5000 I think


lol where did you come up wit that figure of 1 in 5000 from ?

"the labor party cant even spell surplus, let alone deliver one"
This Post:
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174032.4 in reply to 174032.3
Date: 2/9/2011 5:53:03 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
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lol he was pretty close
its prbly 1/(2^12)
which is 1/4096

This Post:
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174032.5 in reply to 174032.3
Date: 2/9/2011 5:54:08 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
522522
Well chance of having the first game away is 50%, chance of having 2 games away is 25%, chance of having 3 games away is 12.5%, keep halving and I think you get 0.02% which I think is 1 in 5000.

So there is a 1 in 5000 chance of drawing 12 away games in a row :P

This Post:
11
174032.6 in reply to 174032.3
Date: 2/9/2011 5:56:19 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
275275
1 away = 50% = 1/2
2 away = 25% = 1/4
3 away = 12.5% = 1/8
4 away = 6.25% = 1/16
5 away = 3.125% = 1/32
6 away = 1.5625% = 1/64
7 away = .78125% = 1/128
8 away = .390625% = 1/256
9 away = .1953125% = 1/512
10 away = .09765625% = 1/1024
11 away = .048828125% = 1/2048
12 away = .0244140625% = 1/4096

I got bored.

Last edited by FannyPackMan at 2/9/2011 6:38:42 AM

Can you smell what the Hobos are cooking... oh wait its just Roger. (18085274)
This Post:
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174032.7 in reply to 174032.6
Date: 2/9/2011 5:57:19 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
522522
So I was right? :P

This Post:
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174032.8 in reply to 174032.7
Date: 2/9/2011 5:58:18 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
275275
Doing the math for the simple minds.

Can you smell what the Hobos are cooking... oh wait its just Roger. (18085274)
This Post:
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174032.9 in reply to 174032.4
Date: 2/9/2011 5:58:58 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
522522
Close enough :D

This Post:
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174032.10 in reply to 174032.6
Date: 2/9/2011 5:59:55 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
275275
I only went up to 9 though.

Can you smell what the Hobos are cooking... oh wait its just Roger. (18085274)
This Post:
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174032.11 in reply to 174032.5
Date: 2/9/2011 6:17:09 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
4949
haha ok fair enuff

i could barely add 1 +1

Last edited by PTE_NGUYEN at 2/9/2011 6:17:35 AM

"the labor party cant even spell surplus, let alone deliver one"