BuzzerBeater Forums

both potentials are fairly high, so thats a toss up.

i had trouble deciding between a 4 star/4 potential playre and a 5 star/? potential player. Leaning towards the 4/4, cuase the 5 could ahve 3 or worse potential, and you can't change potential.

i had trouble deciding between a 4 star/4 potential playre and a 5 star/? potential player. Leaning towards the 4/4, cuase the 5 could ahve 3 or worse potential, and you can't change potential.

I've been doing some thinking there too. I've got 11 5-star players, but 8 of them haven't got a rating for potential. If the 4/4 is a B-, then I would probably take a chance on the 5-stars.
But it depends on the distribution of potential ratings.

if you're on the fence, think if thats a postion player youre looking to train and/or take a closer look at their box score stats. I hate training FT's, so anyone w/ bad free throws got dropped to the bottom of their comparable star rating.

Yes, of course it's tougher as at least one of te players has to survive the first 15 picks (not 31).

However, the likelihood that a player is picked randomly is 1/48, i.e. the probability that he is not picked is 47/48. If he is left the second round the probability is 46/47 and so on to the 15th round where his probability of "survival" is 33/34 = 97%.

As he has to survive all these picks the total probability becomes 69% that he is left. The probability that both the first picks are left is 47%. Finally the probabilty that at least one of the first or second pick is left is 91%!

That is, in a league like yours where almost all teams are bots you are very likely to get either you first or second pick. Ragans league is much more active, so of ocourse this decreases his chances. However, I would believe that quite a few of the active teams do not really care that much about the draft (just as a lot of teams dont seem to give a damn about their arena). Thus I would still think that he has a quite good chance to get one of his first two picks.

I hope a did my calculaions right now. It's a long time since I calculated probabilities. Probably about a decade or so.

I've got 1 4* star potential and 5 3* potential out of 9 twice scouted players. 4* one is SG and i dont train SG but he is also A+ and 20 8-10 0-2 4-5 1 2 1 1 1 0 5 20 box score. He made too many fauls but nice points indeed, but again i dont train SG.
And i got 2 centers with 5 Star rating and i dont know their grade rating or potential, but both of them got great box scores like 1st one: 37 13-14 0-1 2-2 1 11 8 2 0 0 0 28 (i think i can say GREAT for him to the other guys' box scores.) and 2nd one: 36 1-4 0-0 2-2 4 12 5 3 1 5 2 4 (This one got 5 damn blocks in one match, and good rebounder, he didnt try much shots but 1-4 is not perfect but we cant decide he is good or not).
So i ask u what to do? i made my 1st 3 order like 1st center than 2nd one than SG. What do u say about these? I'm thinking of not taking 3* potential with crap box scores but 5 star ratings, its better to take shot and try the ones with great box scores but no info about potential?

Yes I do, or at least I think I do.

How do you guys rank 2* or 1* star players with less then 2* Potential?
I rank them on the bottom even behind those players I dont have any information because I dont think that those players will remain in my team anyway.

What do you think about that?

How do you guys rank 2* or 1* star players with less then 2* Potential?
I rank them on the bottom even behind those players I dont have any information because I dont think that those players will remain in my team anyway.

What do you think about that?

I would rank 1* and 2* players at the bottom, no matter what their potential is. I even rank 3* players with a bad scoreline at the bottom.
The Reason : I KNOW that these guys will never really be any good, but the ones I don't know anything about MIGHT be good.

Where are you guys ranking your unscouted players...above 1* players, above 2* players?

Steve
Bruins