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Cup Streaks

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This Post:
00
174032.2 in reply to 174032.1
Date: 2/9/2011 1:56:01 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
522522
It is random, and you are very unlucky, but the chance of having that many away games is about 1 in 5000 I think, so there are bound to be some people in the game being that unlucky.

This Post:
00
174032.3 in reply to 174032.2
Date: 2/9/2011 5:39:16 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
4949
It is random, and you are very unlucky, but the chance of having that many away games is about 1 in 5000 I think


lol where did you come up wit that figure of 1 in 5000 from ?

"the labor party cant even spell surplus, let alone deliver one"
This Post:
00
174032.4 in reply to 174032.3
Date: 2/9/2011 5:53:03 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
00
lol he was pretty close
its prbly 1/(2^12)
which is 1/4096

This Post:
00
174032.5 in reply to 174032.3
Date: 2/9/2011 5:54:08 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
522522
Well chance of having the first game away is 50%, chance of having 2 games away is 25%, chance of having 3 games away is 12.5%, keep halving and I think you get 0.02% which I think is 1 in 5000.

So there is a 1 in 5000 chance of drawing 12 away games in a row :P

This Post:
11
174032.6 in reply to 174032.3
Date: 2/9/2011 5:56:19 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
275275
1 away = 50% = 1/2
2 away = 25% = 1/4
3 away = 12.5% = 1/8
4 away = 6.25% = 1/16
5 away = 3.125% = 1/32
6 away = 1.5625% = 1/64
7 away = .78125% = 1/128
8 away = .390625% = 1/256
9 away = .1953125% = 1/512
10 away = .09765625% = 1/1024
11 away = .048828125% = 1/2048
12 away = .0244140625% = 1/4096

I got bored.

Last edited by FannyPackMan at 2/9/2011 6:38:42 AM

Can you smell what the Hobos are cooking... oh wait its just Roger. (18085274)
This Post:
00
174032.7 in reply to 174032.6
Date: 2/9/2011 5:57:19 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
522522
So I was right? :P

This Post:
00
174032.8 in reply to 174032.7
Date: 2/9/2011 5:58:18 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
275275
Doing the math for the simple minds.

Can you smell what the Hobos are cooking... oh wait its just Roger. (18085274)
This Post:
00
174032.9 in reply to 174032.4
Date: 2/9/2011 5:58:58 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
522522
Close enough :D

This Post:
00
174032.10 in reply to 174032.6
Date: 2/9/2011 5:59:55 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
275275
I only went up to 9 though.

Can you smell what the Hobos are cooking... oh wait its just Roger. (18085274)
This Post:
00
174032.11 in reply to 174032.5
Date: 2/9/2011 6:17:09 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
4949
haha ok fair enuff

i could barely add 1 +1

Last edited by PTE_NGUYEN at 2/9/2011 6:17:35 AM

"the labor party cant even spell surplus, let alone deliver one"
This Post:
00
174032.12 in reply to 174032.6
Date: 2/9/2011 6:45:54 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
275275
Just made a simple table for others to follow.

Can you smell what the Hobos are cooking... oh wait its just Roger. (18085274)
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