My honest thoughts:
This time last week I was 10 point favorites based on my having a more balanced team, nice gameshape, but aware of your team's slight improvement (guard upgrade).
After my gameshape update this week (my total DMI down 25%), It's so much more of a close match-up. As i mentioned in my BB-mail, I think you very slight favorites but it's very hard to tell. I would be surprised it it was more than a 10 pt win either way.
Should be a fun one, I hope to watch it!