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From: Bballin

This Post:
11
173944.106 in reply to 173944.104
Date: 2/28/2011 12:57:25 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
968968
Pool F:
1.Belgium(5) 5-0 554 456
2.Portugal(1) 4-1 570 457
3.Slovensko(2) 4-1 567 470
4.Ukraina(3) 2-3 501 486
5.Danmark(7) 2-3 472 497
6.Island(4) 2-3 520 556
7.Moldova(6) 1-4 480 559
8.Scotland(8) 0-5 432 615

Island 83 Portugal 108
Portugal put up some good ratings in this one and kept their 2nd round hopes alive. Island dropped to 2-3 and are one of three teams with that same record. POTG: Jose Calafate had 19 points, a team high 3 assists and an 18.0 rating.

Ukraina 99 Slovensko 109
Slovensko had very balanced ratings and looked strong in this one as they kept their 2nd round hopes alive. Ukraina is now another 2-3 team. POTG: Miroslav Capela had a game high 26 points, a game high 15 rebounds and a 17.5 rating.

Danmark 96 Moldova 86
Danmark held a slim lead heading into the 4th, and pulled away in the 4th. Moldova actually put up some pretty good ratings, but even with their extra effort they couldn't steal a win from Danmark. POTG: Karsten Bank had 15 points, a game high 8 assists, 5 rebounds and a 12.5 rating.

Scotland 79 Belgium 107
Belgium has to be the biggest surprise of the tournament in my eyes. I really never thought theyd be undefeated after 5 games, but they are. They got an easy victory over Scotland and should advance. POTG: Ahmad Abu-Hasan had a team high 24 points, 13 rebounds and a 16.5 rating.

My predictions:
Moldova(53) at Scotland(81)
Moldova definetly did not have the best GS update, but it was enough to beat Scotland this week. My pick: MOldova improves to 2-4 and Scotland keeps on losing.

Portugal(10) at Ukraina(39)
Portugal had a good GS update exceept that two of their best big men are in terrible GS. Ukraina had a good GS update for their bigs and should take advantage. My pick: Portugal pretty much needs to win this game, and Ukraina is just positioning for next season, Portugal has more incentive.

Belgium(44) at Danmark(63)
Danmarks 2 game winning streak ends here as Belgium will continue their impressive run and should finish undefeated, making the race for second between Portugal and Slovensko. My pick: Belgium.

Slovensko(14) at Island(38)
Slovensko have a lot of injuries and not a very good GS update. I still like them to give it everything they have to keep their hopes alive. My pick: Slovensko.

DONE! lol

This Post:
11
173944.108 in reply to 173944.107
Date: 2/28/2011 3:37:20 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
887887
Belgium(44) at Danmark(63)
Danmarks 2 game winning streak ends here as Belgium will continue their impressive run and should finish undefeated, making the race for second between Portugal and Slovensko. My pick: Belgium.


Belgium has some injury troubles this week. Last week we lost our best C on injury, this week we lose the second best one. The first one is recovered but in a bad GS. We don't have a deep roster, so I think we will have many difficulties today against Danmark. And a CT of Danmark is not excluded...

Loddo is ready to rock as usually :D

rwystyrk (Czech NT Manager) ,
Do you think of different attitude in your predictions? It can change the game easily

After reviewing such a huge number of games it is also axtra-difficult to analyze all the enthusiams and all the standings. BBalin is doing a fantastic job and you still want more :D

This Post:
00
173944.109 in reply to 173944.108
Date: 2/28/2011 6:38:06 AM
BC Hostivař
První liga
Overall Posts Rated:
13171317
Second Team:
Jirkov
I don't want more I can live without this analysis. I think the analysis without taking this major factor on mind is little bit useless. And especially at this stage of the tournament many CT's can be expected as many teams are very close to being eliminated from next group stage and have to risk little bit more than usual.

This Post:
00
173944.110 in reply to 173944.109
Date: 2/28/2011 9:06:47 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
887887
I think the analysis without taking this major factor on mind is little bit useless.

Agreed
And especially at this stage of the tournament many CT's can be expected as many teams are very close to being eliminated from next group stage and have to risk little bit more than usual.

And agreed.

But remember that BBalin is not the machine and he is not the PC that can make these calculations during 5-10 minutes. Probably checking the enthusiasms + the GS + the standings of the teams will require at least few hours. And also BBalin is not european and he is looking at the european teams starting from this season.

Summarising all these factors I'd say that BBalin is doing fantastic job.
ALso it could be a good idea if we(europeans) could support his reviews by our own predictions as we are a little bit more aware of the players' skills and the some coach's NT style. Your's for example ;)
I'd try to get in time and write some predictions of the Group Of Death.

This Post:
00
173944.111 in reply to 173944.104
Date: 2/28/2011 9:15:21 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
959959
Poland 92 Espana 99
This game is really weird. Poland either had better ratings or the same ratings in each category and lost. Both teams went with an inside offense and M2M defense. Unless Poland had way less enthusiasm this doesn't make sense. Poland even pulled off a wondrous(medium) inside scoring rating. Anyway, Poland still has a really good chance of advancing if they win their next ttwo games and Espana is basically in already. POTG: Nuno Betanzos had a team high 22 points, 5 assists, 4 rebounds and a 17.0 rating


for me it was also the best game game of last round, but i don't think that Poland lost his game because of a lower enthusiam because this is included quite well in my eyes(or maybe even to strong). Maybe it was a bit unlucky, because game and ratings was close or spain have the better sideskills which didn't effect the rating that much.

I believe both team will make it, but Poland needs to play hard to proceed against srbja so that they maybe got problems in the next round.

This Post:
00
173944.112 in reply to 173944.110
Date: 2/28/2011 9:43:17 AM
BC Hostivař
První liga
Overall Posts Rated:
13171317
Second Team:
Jirkov
I'd try to get in time and write some predictions of the Group Of Death.

Which group is actually Group of Death?

I spent a lot of time by all the work in my club and our NT. So I havn’t enough time analyse in deep way more than our group. And there are some reasons why I don’t want to make public my predictions of games in our group.

Last edited by rwystyrk at 2/28/2011 9:47:23 AM

This Post:
00
173944.114 in reply to 173944.112
Date: 2/28/2011 10:07:32 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
887887
I'd try to get in time and write some predictions of the Group Of Death.

Which group is actually Group of Death?


Pool A
Team W L PF PA %
1 Italia 5 0 572 400 1.000
2 Hrvatska 5 0 607 465 1.000
3 Türkiye 4 1 582 471 0.800
4 Latvija 2 3 604 569 0.400
5 Bulgaria 2 3 549 531 0.400
6 Belarus 2 3 528 568 0.400
7 Norge 0 5 414 506 0.000
8 Luxembourg 0 5 410 756 0.000

Italia, Turkey, Latvia and Croatia are pretty strong teams. Bulgaria can also make an upset to anyone. So, 5 top-class teams are here..

This Post:
00
173944.115 in reply to 173944.114
Date: 2/28/2011 10:13:35 AM
BC Hostivař
První liga
Overall Posts Rated:
13171317
Second Team:
Jirkov
I see just 4 strong teams. Almost everyone (in any group) can make an upset to anyone by using CT (or even normal against TIE).

This Post:
33
173944.116 in reply to 173944.115
Date: 2/28/2011 11:21:16 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
887887
Ok, I'll try some predictions for the Pool A.

52 Belarus -- 96 Luxembourg
The game which has no intrigue. The question is: How much? Let's see if inside oriented Belarus destroyes the worst by rating NT in Europe. Belarus has some injury troubles but still has Rakau (8240002). Luxembourg is one of the NTs that can afford having 6th man potential player (11109668)
Last time Belarus has lost to Luxembourg few years ago, but this was the football match.
Belarus +35

50 Bulgaria -- 64 Norge
The must-win game for Bulgaria as in case of loosing they will be left at the 6th place in the group this season, which is not good at all for them. Bulgaria is the other example of inside oriented team. This should be the tough game. Norway has nothing more to lose, they have the last game against Luxembourg and today they should obviously put CT. Bulgaria is in the difficult position here. Probably playing normal should be the best decision as they still have the battle with Belarus in the last round. TIE vs CT will defenitely mean Norway's victory. Normal vs TIE is more difficult to predict. Norway has some GS problems this time and their main hope is the superb defensive skills of all the players, guards especially. I'd choose Norway beating Bulgaria with CT vs normal. Norway +2

24 Italia -- 33 Latvija
Ragans has 2 or 3 dull seasons with his club. They all are going to be dedicated to the training and collecting some cash. Having such a perspective the current B3 winner has decided to try and check his tactical abilities with the Nt Latvia. And he failed. The difficult win over Norway playing with the higher enthusiasm in the first round.. And upset after loss to the highly motivated Belarus. Looks like the community is not satisfied enough with the current performance. And nothing's gonna change after this game. Italy is too strong playing at home court.
2 italian 300k+ centers are a little bit ill and having only averahe GS, but they have good substitutes + the capitain Gabriele Turbato ((6769986)). I don't think that Latvia with huge, extra-huge problems with the roster(2 injured, other top-salary players having GS=6-7) can do something.. Italy wins +30.

And the most important game in this group during all the qualifying tournament:
25 Hrvatska -- 40 Türkiye
Croatia has the last game against Italia and they must-win it in order to book the 2nd place. Turkey being led by GM-Lloyd meets unlucky Latvia in the last round and it should not make huge problems.
SO this game decides it all. I won't be surprised much if one or both of the teams play CT today.
Turkey has some out of GS players, but still good choise. Croatia has only 3 players in proficient GS and that makes Turkey the favourite of the game. Anyway, that's the manager's decisions that will decide how the game finishs. My prediction is Turkey to win +12.

This is too late probably, the games are starting in 30 minutes. But at least there will be smth to read during the big break ;)

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